Friday, March 07, 2025
Monthly economic data disappointed in January, with declines in retail sales, auto sales, housing sales, and manufacturing production. A number of one-off drags weighed on the month: The LA wildfires, a bad flu season, and (likely having the largest impact) severe winter weather across much of the continental United States.
Even as these headwinds faded in February, new drags appeared. The DOGE cuts to federal headcount and suspended payments for federal programs pushed up jobless claims, and will likely